Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.116596 0.125088 0.133884 0.143681 0.154294 0.165452 0.178081
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.099627 0.111677 0.124784 0.140130 0.157639 0.177036 0.200208
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.092476 0.106806 0.122926 0.142461 0.165573 0.192137 0.225118
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084759 0.100237 0.118120 0.140399 0.167536 0.199675 0.240856
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.078880 0.095195 0.114481 0.139088 0.169831 0.207208 0.256448
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072861 0.089481 0.109520 0.135624 0.168967 0.210449 0.266453
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068553 0.085550 0.106419 0.134129 0.170260 0.216182 0.279624
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.065497 0.082968 0.104790 0.134291 0.173512 0.224385 0.296228
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.061810 0.079353 0.101600 0.132169 0.173526 0.228170 0.306897
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.058994 0.076708 0.099502 0.131310 0.175073 0.233934 0.320393
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058279 0.076778 0.100941 0.135205 0.183180 0.248913 0.347445
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055873 0.074448 0.099026 0.134369 0.184615 0.254588 0.361363
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053384 0.071949 0.096840 0.133140 0.185554 0.259764 0.375096
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050383 0.068623 0.093376 0.129951 0.183527 0.260564 0.382354
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.049370 0.068017 0.093657 0.132088 0.189277 0.272916 0.407665
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.047149 0.065599 0.091258 0.130194 0.188931 0.276111 0.418899
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045294 0.063625 0.089401 0.128990 0.189519 0.280672 0.432419
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042974 0.060884 0.086319 0.125808 0.186915 0.280148 0.437660
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041321 0.059056 0.084496 0.124435 0.187006 0.283771 0.449755
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.040193 0.057956 0.083703 0.124584 0.189450 0.291165 0.468409
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.038560 0.056043 0.081617 0.122634 0.188458 0.292967 0.477671
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.037325 0.054684 0.080313 0.121844 0.189269 0.297689 0.492106
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037269 0.055113 0.081746 0.125424 0.197301 0.314618 0.528616